Bonds began the day in weaker territory but rallied after the 8:30am econ data. This wasn’t exclusively a function of Core PCE hitting its forecast, but also drew strength from the higher continued claims number. Just over an hour later, Chicago PMI came in noticeably weaker and added to the rally. Gains slowly evaporated throughout the day in a linear trend. While this left a microscopic improvement on the day it did nothing to push rates/yields out of their exceptionally narrow, prevailing trend.
Jobless Claims
215k vs 210k f’cast, 202k prev
Continued Claims
1905k vs 1874k f’cast, 1860k prev
Core PCE m/m
0.4 vs 0.4 f’cast, 0.2 prev
Core PCE y/y
2.8 vs 2.8 f’cast, 2.9 prev
Chicago PMI
44 vs 48 f’cast, 46 prev
08:54 AM
Moderately weaker overnight, but erasing losses after data. 10yr nearly unchanged at 4.266. MBS down only 1 tick (0.03).
09:52 AM
Additional gains after Chicago PMI. 10yr down 1.8bps at 4.246. MBS up 2 ticks (.06).
01:27 PM
Off the best levels, but still stronger. MBS up 3 ticks (.09) and 10yr down 1.2bps at 4.252.
03:07 PM
some weakness heading into 3pm close (month-end). Still barely positive with MBS up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr down half a bp at 4.259.
04:48 PM
Briefly weaker at 4pm, but recovering back in line with the levels from the previous update.
Download our mobile app to get alerts for MBS Commentary and streaming MBS and Treasury prices.
The US economy is in a tricky spot. To close out 2023, fourth quarter GDP measured at a robust 3.3% annual growth rate, but inflation remains above the Fed’s desired 2% target, so the central bank has yet to cut interest rates. Still, many expect that rate cuts will come this year as the economy and inflation cool down more. For the mortgage market, that could also mean that rates come down.
Already, 30-year mortgage rates have fallen from recent highs. While they reached approximately 8% in October 2023, they now average 6.63% as of the beginning of February 2024, according to Freddie Mac.
But what will happen the rest of the year? Below, we’ll look at three possible mortgage rate scenarios.
If you’re in the market to buy a home then start by exploring your mortgage rate options here now.
Will mortgage rates drop below 6% in 2024?
Here are three possible scenarios for mortgage rates this year, according to the experts we spoke to.
Mortgage rates will drop below 6%
Mortgage rates could continue to trend downward this year, especially once the Fed starts cutting the federal funds rate.
“Mortgage rates will go down in 2024. How much and when depends on the economy and inflation. I believe that we will see rates trending to 6% in the summer, perhaps not until late summer,” says Melissa Cohn, regional VP at William Raveis Mortgage. After that, “I believe that rates will drop below 6% and stay below 6% for the year.”
Some experts predict an even larger drop, though still not at pandemic-era levels.
“I believe they will fall to 4.25%,” says Dan Green, CEO at Homebuyer.com. “Inflation is solved, lenders are competitive, and the bond market is finding its health.”
See how low of a mortgage rate you could get now.
Mortgage rates will drop somewhat but not below 6%
While some people think that mortgage rates will fall further, not everyone is convinced that they’ll drop significantly from their current levels. As mentioned, GDP remains strong, and lower rates tend to coincide with a weakening economy, which might not occur.
Shannon Feick,co-owner and co-founder at ASAP Properties, LLC, says he’s “confident that the relatively strong economy will likely prevent rates from falling below 6% in 2024, but with inflation cooling, mortgage rates will fall slightly from their current levels.”
Still, it’s possible that the economy’s health and inflation rate get thrown off by unexpected events, like how geopolitical conflicts have caused oil price swings, which can ultimately influence interest rate decisions.
“I do believe that curveballs like geopolitical events or significant shifts in the job market could alter this forecast, but only by a small amount,” says Feick.
Mortgage rates will stay the same
Another scenario could be that rates end up staying essentially the same, with mid-6% interest rates persisting.
“I think rates will stay flat on average this year, meaning that they will stay in the mid-6s, which is where we dropped to at the end of the year, going into 2024,” says Sam Sharp, executive VP of mortgage lending at Guaranteed Rate.
It’s also possible that rates go higher, but Sharp thinks that the current levels seem to be working.
“I believe that the markets have tested their threshold. When rates capped over 8% the housing market saw a steep decline. As soon as rates dropped into the mid-6s we saw a quick change, and this looks to be a sweet spot in the current environment,” he says.
“Not only is this a level that buyers seem more comfortable with, but I feel this is a good baseline for some sellers, and their motivation is what we need to create a balanced housing market,” explains Sharp.
Learn more about today’s mortgage rates online here.
The bottom line
It’s hard to predict exactly where mortgage interest rates will go in 2024, as much depends on factors like the state of the economy and how the Fed responds to inflation. But if you can afford to buy a home now at current levels, you might be better off doing so for two main reasons.
One, it’s hard to say how long you’ll have to wait for rates to drop — if they do at all — and you might not want to put your home search on hold indefinitely. Two, a decrease in mortgage rates could increase competition among homebuyers, as those who have been waiting for rates to drop might jump in, thus complicating the process.
However, one advantage of waiting to buy a home could be that more sellers jump in, too. Some sellers have been reluctant to give up their homes and then buy a new one at high mortgage rates. But if rates do drop, or if sellers simply get more accustomed to current rates as the new normal, then that could increase inventory.
So, you’ll have to weigh these factors, along with looking at your finances and the local conditions in your desired area to see what makes the most sense for you. And while you probably don’t want to bank on it, mortgage refinancing could be an option down the road if rates drop further.
Start exploring your current mortgage rate options here.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced on Thursday that the transition to new credit score requirements is expected to occur in the fourth quarter of 2025, a decision commended by the mortgage industry.
That’s when the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will acquire single-family loans based on the FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 credit models, replacing the Classic FICO score that has been in place for decades. The GSEs will also transition from a tri-merge system to a bi-merge system at that time.
“Following extensive stakeholder engagement and input, FHFA is aligning the implementation date of the bi-merge credit reporting requirement with the transition from the Classic FICO credit score model,” the FHFA said in a statement.
If implemented in Q4 2025, the transition to the new requirements will take three years since the change was first announced in October 2022. The original implementation timeline was for first-quarter 2024, but it was delayed by concerns expressed by stakeholders and members of the U.S. Congress.
The GSEs are aiming to accelerate the publication of VantageScore 4.0 historical data, from Q1 2025 to Q3 2024. But they are still working alongside the FHFA to achieve conditions for acquiring and publishing FICO 10T model data.
“Synchronizing bi-merge credit reporting with the implementation of the new credit score model requirements will reduce complexity for market participants, which is a key objective of our transition efforts,” FHFA director Sandra L. Thompson said in a statement.
The FHFA believes the new models will increase accuracy in credit scoring as they provide multiple views of credit risk for market participants. This should also improve competition as credit reports from two, rather than three, of the national credit bureaus may be used.
Scott Olson, executive director of the Community Home Lenders of America (CHLA), commended the FHFA for updating its credit score requirements.
“The details of these updates will be important, and we look forward to working with FHFA over the next few years to ensure that this saves money for borrowers — particularly those who are underserved and first-time homeowners,” Olson said.
But while the industry expects changes, credit reports have become more expensive.
In 2024, FICO is charging one price — higher than last year’s price — to all mortgage lenders, independent of their volumes, in a departure from the tier-based pricing structure it implemented in early 2023. It’s also collecting the same per-score price for soft pulls and hard pulls, an initiative that started in 2023 despite significant differences in these products.
High costs have accelerated the transitions by some lenders to new credit models for several products, mainly those outside of the GSE space. The list includes lenders such as Movement Mortgage, CrossCountry Mortgage and Premier Lending.
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After I wrote a simple primer on Roth conversions a couple weeks ago, several readers reached out asking for more details. A few specific snippets of those questions include:
I see many articles like this about lowering your tax bracket when doing Roth conversions. But, what about the amount of money that can be made by not doing Roth conversions and letting the taxable [sic: qualified, or not taxable] money grow in an account like an IRA or 401K? Is that math too hard to explain?
Sure your RMDs will be higher and you will be taxed more, but how much more money will you make by letting that tax deferred money grow? You could assume a rate of return at 6% for the illustration.
Kelly M., Question 1
A wise man once said “never pay a tax before you have to.” Back around 2015 I had the owner of an income tax service try to convince me to convert all my traditional IRA money to Roth. He said tax rates were going to go up and he was converting all of his own personal traditional IRAs. Fast forward to 2017 and Congress actually ended up lowering tax rates. I wonder what he thought about his conversions after that.
Anonymous, Question 2
Even with my spouse still working, I don’t think we’ll hit the IRMAA limits while I do Roth conversions before I take Medicare. But, could Roth conversions now help me avoid the IRMAA thresholds when I’m taking RMDs in the future? Or, is it worth doing Roth conversions to avoid the IRMAA thresholds? I’d be interested in an article like that.
Anonymous, Question 3
To summarize those three questions:
Does the math of Roth conversions really work?
But since we don’t know future tax rates, how can we confidently convert assets today?
What about IRMAA (the income-related monthly adjustment amount), which is an additional Medicare surcharge on high-earners?
Let’s address these questions one at a time.
Does the Math of Roth Conversions Really Work?
Roth conversions involve many moving pieces, as you’ll see in this simple Roth conversion spreadsheet.
Reminder: you can make a copy of the spreadsheet via File >> Make a Copy
There are terrific financial planning software packages that take care of this math. I wanted to present 95% of the good stuff in a free format that you all can look at. Hence, Google Sheets.
Nuanced Tax Interactions
Especially important is the interaction between normal income (via Traditional account withdrawals), capital gains, and Social Security. These taxes interplay in nuanced ways. A simple example:
Let’s say a Single retiree’s annual income is:
$5000 in interest income
$5000 in long-term capital gains
$30,000 in Social Security benefits.
If you plug that into a 1040 tax return, you’ll find that:
None of that Social Security income is taxable.
All of the interest and capital gains are enveloped by the Standard deduction
Resulting in zero taxable income and a $0.00 Federal tax bill.
But if we copied Scenario A and added in $30,000 in Traditional IRA distributions, what happens? I think we all expect that the $30,000 distribution itself must have a taxable component, but you might not know that:
The IRA distribution affects Social Security taxability. Now, $22,350 of the Social Security income becomes taxable. That’s right. Simply by distributing IRA assets, you’ve now increased how much Social Security you pay taxes on.
The Standard deduction still helps, but there’s now a remainder of $48,500 in Federal taxable income.
Resulting in a $5584 Federal tax bill.
It’s not the end of the world. Taxes happen. They pay for our public shared interests.
But part of tax planning is understanding ahead of time what your future tax bills will look like. It’s important to understand how taxes interact. And this is just a simple example!
Measuring Roth Conversion Benefits
Going back to this spreadsheet, you’ll three tabs full of retirement withdrawal math. The Assumptions tab contains important information on our hypothetical retiree’s starting point (e.g. $2.9M in investable assets), their annual spending ($100K), their future assumed growth (5% per year, after adjusting for inflation), and other important numbers.
Note – this math takes place in “the convenient world” where inflation is removed from the math.
Then three tabs are presented with different Roth conversion scenarios, described below:
“Baseline Calculations“
This tab shows a retiree not focused on any conversions
They want to leave to their children both Roth assets (if possible) and taxable assets (on a stepped-up cost basis).
Therefore, they attempt to fund as much of their retirement using Traditional assets as possible
“No Trad Withdrawals”
This tab shows a “worst case” scenario, to help bookend the analysis. This retiree is not pulling any funds from their Traditional accounts (unless necessary). Thus, we’d expect them to have large RMDs and large RMD-related tax bills.
“Reasonable Conversions”
This tab shows a “reasonable” Roth conversion timeline, electing to convert $1.7 million throughout their retirement, while funding their lifestyle using a mix of Traditional, Roth, and taxable assets along the way.
By no means is this “optimized.” But it’s reasonable, and better than the first two scenarios, as we’ll see below.
Pros, Cons, and Results
The three scenarios end up similar in multiple ways.
Our retiree never has an issue funding their annual lifestyle. This is of utmost importance.
Our retiree reaches age 90 (“death”) with roughly $5M in each scenario.
But there are important differences (as we’d suspect).
The Baseline scenario ends with $5.00M. Of that, 27% is Traditional, 35% is Roth, and 34% is Taxable. They’ve paid an effective Federal tax rate of 20.7% throughout retirement.
The No Traditional Withdrawal scenario ends with $5.20M. Of that, 63% is Tradtional, 0% is Roth, 37% is Taxable. They’ve paid an effective Federal tax rate of 18.8% throughout retirement.
The Reasonable Conversions scenario ends with $5.17M. 18% is Traditional, 68% is Roth, and 14% is Taxable. They’ve paid an effective Federal tax rate of 13.9% throughout retirement.
The Same, But Different
These three scenarios share many similarities. All three result in successful retirements. But there are important differences.
Our Roth converter paid far fewer taxes and, ultimately, left a majority of their tax dollars to their heirs via Roth vehicles, and thus tax-free.
The No Trad Withdrawal retiree paid 28% effective tax rates in their final years (only going further up in the future) and left 63% of their assets in Traditional accounts with a large asterisk on them.***
***TAXES DUE IN THE FUTURE*** …unless you’re leaving the Traditional IRA assets to, for example, a non-profit charity. But if you’re leaving the Traditional IRA to your kids, they’ll owe taxes when they withdraw the funds.
Long story short: Roth conversions work to your benefit when executed intelligently.
Should You Worry About Leaving Behind Traditional Assets?!
I don’t want to freak you out. Your heirs will appreciate you leaving behind a 401(k) or Traditional IRA for them.
But it’s worth understanding that they’ll owe taxes on that money (usually). Let’s dive into an example with simple math: a $1 million Traditional IRA left to one person (e.g. your child).
That person will most likely set up an Inherited Traditional IRAand (via new-ish rules in the SECURE Act) will have to empty that account by the end of the 10th year after your death. The withdrawals can be raised and lowered during those 10 years. Much like with Roth conversions, it makes sense to take larger withdrawals during otherwise low-income years and vice versa.
But if the beneficiary is in the middle of their career, a series of 10 equal withdrawals makes sense. Some rough math suggests ~$135,000 per year is a reasonable withdrawal amount (based on account growth over the 10 years).
That withdrawal is taxed as income for the beneficiary. If they’re already earning $100,000 per year of normal income, then taxes will consume ~$41,000 of their annual $135,000 withdrawal. State taxes might take another bite.
Again – I don’t want anyone to cry over the prospect of inheriting $94,000 annually for 10 years. Where can I sign up?! But it’s also worth understanding that 30% of this inheritance is going to Federal taxes.
“Never Pay a Tax Before You Have To”
What about Question #2 from the beginning of the article? A reader wrote in and suggested one should “never pay a tax before you have to.”
While pithy, it’s false.
If you can reasonably front-load low tax rates to prevent later high tax rates, the math supports you. What we’ve covered so far today is clear evidence of that.
Now, in the reader’s defense: I’d rather delay taxes if thedollar amounts are exactly the same. That’s one argument behind the tax-loss harvesting craze: I’d rather pay $100 in taxes in the future than $100 in taxes today.
But Roth conversions work differently. Done well, Roth conversions allow you to pay a 22% tax on $50,000 today to prevent a 37% tax on $100,000 in the future. It’s apples-and-oranges compared to the tax-loss example.
And perhaps the bigger lesson: there are few universal rules in personal finance. The pithy rule that works in one scenario (“never pay a tax before you have to”) might fail miserably in another scenario. Let the math guide you.
What About IRMAA?
Irma used to only be a name you’d give to the great-grandmother character in your 11th-grade B-minus fiction story.
No longer! Today, IRMAA has been given new life (which, I bet, was covered by Medicare!)
IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount) is a Medicare premium surcharge imposed on higher-income beneficiaries in addition to their standard Medicare Part B and Part D premiums. The amount of IRMAA is determined based on an individual’s modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) and can result in higher healthcare costs for those with higher incomes.
In plain English: high-earners pay more for Medicare.
Question #3 today asked if Roth conversions can be used to avoid IRMAA premiums. The answer is: yes.
But first, how painful are these IRMAA surcharges in the first place?!
Important note: you’ll see below that the 2023 IRMAA brackets are based on 2021 modified adjusted gross income (MAGI). That same 2-year delay holds for future years. Your 2024 Roth conversions (or lack thereof) will be important in determining IRMAA in 2026
If a married couple’s MAGI in 2021 was $225,000, they’d end up paying $231 per month (or, more accurately, $462 per month for the couple) as opposed to $330 for the couple if they earned less than $194,000. That’s a difference of $132 per month or $1584 for the year.
I’m of two minds here. Because:
Yes, I believe in frugality. A penny saved is a penny earned. Why pay $1584 extra if you don’t have to?
But if you’re earning $200,000in retirement, do you also need to stress over a $1500 annual line item?
Personally, I’ll be stoked if my retirement MAGI is $200,000. It’ll be a sign that my financial life turned out unbelievably well. I won’t mind the IRMAA.
The people most likely to suffer IRMAA are also best positioned to deal with it.
Will IRMAA Get You?
The 2-year delay in IRMAA math means you might get IRMAA’d early on in retirement.
Imagine retiring at the end of 2023. The peak of your career! You and your spouse earned a combined $300,000 and now you’re settling down to mind your knitting. Like all U.S. citizens, you sign up for Medicare just before you turn 65.
Come 2025, Uncle Sam and Aunt IRMAA are going to look back at your 2023 income and surcharge you.
But the good news, most likely, is that your 2024 income is quite low in comparison and IRMAA will drop off in 2026.
Can Roth Conversions Help?
Remember: RMDs are forced and count as income, and that has the potential of “forcing” IRMAA on retirees as they age.
So to answer our terrific reader question: yes, Roth conversions can help here. You can use Roth conversions to shift the realization of income from high years to low years, preventing or mitigating IRMAA in the process.
But once more, make sure the juice is worth the squeeze.
If a 75-year-old has a $200,000 RMD that kills them on IRMAA, ask yourself: where does a $200,000 RMD come from? Answer: it’s coming from an IRA of over $5 million. Should someone with $5 million be losing sleep over IRMAA? I don’t think so.
That’s A Lot of Numbers…
A long and math-heavy article. I hope this helped you out! We covered:
Roth conversions can be objectively helpful, decreasing taxes in retirement and shifting large portions of portfolios from Traditional accounts (with potential taxes for heirs) into Roth accounts (no taxes for heirs)
Taxes in retirement are nuanced and interconnected. In today’s example, realizing extra income (via IRA distributions) also triggered extra Social Security taxes.
It’s not bad to leave behind Traditional assets to heirs. They’re getting a wonderful gift from you. But there will be taxes, which should be planned for.
There are many scenarios where it makes sense to pay taxes before you “have” to.
IRMAA is a negative reality for many retirees, but the people most likely to suffer IRMAA are also best positioned to deal with it.
Roth conversions can be used to mitigate IRMAA over the long run.
As always, thanks for reading!
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-Jesse
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If you’re in the market for a home, here are today’s mortgage rates compared to last week’s.
Loan type
Interest rate
A week ago
Change
30-year fixed rate
7.18%
7.10%
+0.08
15-year fixed rate
6.64%
6.51%
+0.13
30-year jumbo mortgage rate
7.11%
7.02%
+0.09
30-year mortgage refinance rate
7.19%
7.10%
+0.09
Average rates offered by lenders nationwide as of Feb. 29, 2024. We use rates collected by Bankrate to track daily mortgage rate trends.
Mortgage rates change every day. Experts recommend shopping around to make sure you’re getting the lowest rate. By entering your information below, you can get a custom quote from one of CNET’s partner lenders.
About these rates: Like CNET, Bankrate is owned by Red Ventures. This tool features partner rates from lenders that you can use when comparing multiple mortgage rates.
How to select a mortgage term and type
When picking a mortgage, consider the loan term, or payment schedule. The most common mortgage terms are 15 and 30 years, although 10-, 20- and 40-year mortgages also exist. You’ll also need to choose between a fixed-rate mortgage, where the interest rate is set for the duration of the loan, and an adjustable-rate mortgage. With an adjustable-rate mortgage, the interest rate is only fixed for a certain amount of time (commonly five, seven or 10 years), after which the rate adjusts annually based on the market’s current interest rate. Fixed-rate mortgages offer more stability and are a better option if you plan to live in a home in the long term, but adjustable-rate mortgages may offer lower interest rates upfront.
30-year fixed-rate mortgages
The 30-year fixed-mortgage rate average is 7.18%, which is an increase of 8 basis points from seven days ago. (A basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.) A 30-year fixed mortgage is the most common loan term. It will often have a higher interest rate than a 15-year mortgage, but you’ll have a lower monthly payment.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages
The average rate for a 15-year, fixed mortgage is 6.64%, which is an increase of 13 basis points from seven days ago. Though you’ll have a bigger monthly payment than a 30-year fixed mortgage, a 15-year loan usually comes with a lower interest rate, allowing you to pay less interest in the long run and pay off your mortgage sooner.
5/1 adjustable-rate mortgages
A 5/1 ARM has an average rate of 6.35%, a slide of 1 basis point compared to last week. You’ll typically get a lower introductory interest rate with a 5/1 ARM in the first five years of the mortgage. But you could pay more after that period, depending on how the rate adjusts annually. If you plan to sell or refinance your house within five years, an ARM could be a good option.
What to know about today’s mortgage rates
High inflation and the Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest rate hikes drove up mortgage rates over the last several years. Toward the end of last year, however, the Fed announced that interest rate cuts were on the table for 2024. That projection led to a significant drop in mortgage rates, pushing them into the 6% range. Since early February, however, mortgage rates have climbed back above 7% in response to strong economic data.
30-year fixed mortgage: 7.18%
15-year fixed mortgage: 6.64%
5/1 adjustable-rate mortgage: 6.35%
Where mortgage rates are headed in 2024
Experts say interest rate cuts from the Fed will allow mortgage rates to ease, though the first cut won’t likely come until May or June, depending on how quickly inflation decelerates.
“We are expecting mortgage rates to fall to around 6.5% by the end of this year, but there’s still a lot of volatility I think we might see,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin. “It’s possible that rates might go up before they go down again, so that’s why we’re still being conservative with rates being around 6.5%.”
Each month brings a new set of inflation and labor data that can change how investors and the market respond and what direction mortgage rates go, said Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American Financial Corporation. “Ongoing inflation deceleration, a slowing economy and even geopolitical uncertainty can contribute to lower mortgage rates. On the other hand, data that signals upside risk to inflation may result in higher rates,” Kushi said.
While mortgage forecasters base their projections on different data, most experts and market watchers predict rates will move toward 6% or lower by the end of 2024. Here’s a look at where some major housing authorities expect average mortgage rates to land.
What factors affect mortgage rates?
While it’s important to monitor mortgage rates if you’re shopping for a home, remember that no one has a crystal ball. It’s impossible to time the mortgage market, and rates will always have some level of volatility because so many factors are at play.
“Mortgage rates tend to follow long-date Treasury yields, a function of current inflation and economic growth as well as expectations about future economic conditions,” says Orphe Divounguy, senior macroeconomist at Zillow Home Loans.
Here are the factors that influence the average rates on home loans.
Federal Reserve monetary policy: The nation’s central bank doesn’t set interest rates, but when it adjusts the federal funds rate, mortgages tend to go in the same direction.
Inflation: Mortgage rates tend to increase during high inflation. Lenders usually set higher interest rates on loans to compensate for the loss of purchasing power.
The bond market: Mortgage lenders often use long-term bond yields, like the 10-Year Treasury, as a benchmark to set interest rates on home loans. When yields rise, mortgage rates typically increase.
Geopolitical events: World events, such as elections, pandemics or economic crises, can also affect home loan rates, particularly when global financial markets face uncertainty.
Other economic factors: The bond market, employment data, investor confidence and housing market trends, such as supply and demand, can also affect the direction of mortgage rates.
Calculate your monthly mortgage payment
Getting a mortgage should always depend on your financial situation and long-term goals. The most important thing is to make a budget and try to stay within your means. CNET’s mortgage calculator below can help homebuyers prepare for monthly mortgage payments.
How to find the best mortgage rates
Though mortgage rates and home prices are high, the housing market won’t be unaffordable forever. It’s always a good time to save for a down payment and improve your credit score to help you secure a competitive mortgage rate when the time is right.
Save for a bigger down payment: Though a 20% down payment isn’t required, a larger upfront payment means taking out a smaller mortgage, which will help you save in interest.
Boost your credit score: You can qualify for a conventional mortgage with a 620 credit score, but a higher score of at least 740 will get you better rates.
Pay off debt: Experts recommend a debt-to-income ratio of 36% or less to help you qualify for the best rates. Not carrying other debt will put you in a better position to handle your monthly payments.
Research loans and assistance: Government-sponsored loans have more flexible borrowing requirements than conventional loans. Some government-sponsored or private programs can also help with your down payment and closing costs.
Shop around for lenders: Researching and comparing multiple loan offers from different lenders can help you secure the lowest mortgage rate for your situation.
Inside: Secure your financial future with insights into the top appreciating assets. Find the best appreciating assets and learn how to grow wealth with strategic investments.
Asset appreciation isn’t just an economic term; it’s the fuel that powers wealth creation. Think of appreciating assets as the golden geese, steadily laying valuable eggs that grow in size over time.
This is a crucial concept that triumphs and what you own can become the cornerstone of your financial success.
Asset appreciation isn’t just a buzzword; it’s the driving force behind significant wealth accumulation.
Whether you’re just starting or looking to expand your portfolio, understanding the role appreciation plays can mean the difference between mediocrity and staggering success.
Now, let’s dig in and help move your net worth higher.
What Are Appreciating Assets?
Appreciating assets are the golden geese of the investment world. They are the powerful engines that drive your net worth higher over time.
When you invest in assets like real estate, stocks, and even fine art, you’re placing a bet on their future value.
Unlike the car that loses value the moment you drive it off the lot, these assets typically gain worth, supernova-style, expanding your financial universe with every passing year.
How do assets appreciate in value?
Appreciation, at its core, is an asset’s journey from ‘worth X’ to ‘worth X and beyond’. But how does this magical wealth-building happen?
Several factors can give assets a financial boost.
For starters, the traditional law of supply and demand plays a huge role—if more people want it and there’s not enough to go around, the value goes up.
Toss in the influence of interest rates, economic growth, and geopolitical stability, and you have a mix that can push asset value into new echelons.
Even inflation can be a friend to assets, increasing their nominal value over time.
Remember, appreciation isn’t a given; it’s a hopeful trajectory bolstered by market forces and wise decision-making. You want to hop onto the appreciation train with assets that offer the promise of increasing in value, not just for now, but well into the future.
How to increase net worth with appreciating assets
Increasing your net worth with appreciating assets is like laying bricks for a financial fortress—it requires strategy, patience, and a mix of assets that have a history or strong potential for growth.
Start by assessing your current holdings and considering where you can diversify with assets that shine in appreciation prospects. It’s a game of balance, where you mix higher-risk, high-reward options with stable, gradual growers.
Make a habit of routinely re-evaluating your assets, keeping in mind economic trends and your personal goals. Sometimes, this may mean letting go of underperformers in favor of assets with brighter horizons.
Consider leveraging tax-advantaged accounts and investment strategies to maximize your wealth growth.
Most importantly, ensure liquidity so you can capitalize on new opportunities. Having liquid assets means you won’t miss out when the next big appreciating asset comes knocking.
Top 5 Appreciating Assets You Must Own
#1 – Stocks with High Growth Potential
Stocks are the daredevils of the investment world, particularly those brimming with high growth potential. They’re the kind that can catapult your net worth to the stratosphere if chosen wisely.
Tech giants like Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta are testament to this—their growth over the decades has turned modest investments into fortunes.
Investing in high-growth potential stocks is like spotting a gem in the rough – if you spot the right ones, your financial prospects could shine brightly. You must learn how to invest in stocks for beginners.
Personally, I cannot stress how important it is to learn how to invest in the stock market as I can attest this is how you quickly grow your net worth.
Best For: Investors with a higher risk tolerance who are aiming for greater returns or dividend stocks and have the patience to weather market fluctuations.
#2 – ETFs to Streamline Investments for Optimal Performance
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are the investment world’s multitaskers, pooling the potential of various assets for optimum performance. By offering a diversified portfolio within a single share, they allow investors to spread their risk while reaping the growth benefits of different markets and sectors.
ETFs provide an easy and efficient way to diversify investments, reducing risk while still offering growth opportunities. They’re especially game-changing for those who prefer a “set and forget” strategy, as many ETFs are designed to passively track indexes or sectors. Many track the S&P, so you can easily invest in the overall market.
They’re cost-effective, often having lower fees than traditional mutual funds, and are accessible to investors with varying levels of experience.
Best For: Both beginners and experienced investors looking for a blend of simplicity, cost efficiency, and diversification in their investment strategy.
#3 – Real Estate: A Staple in Appreciating Assets
Real estate has long stood as a bulwark in the investment community, a reliable appreciator that doubles as both a tangible asset and a potential home. It’s a market marked by stability and a historical uptrend in value, making it a classic choice for those seeking long-term wealth growth.
Owning property is synonymous with the very concept of asset growth, with the power to withstand economic ebbs and flows. Location continues to be the drumbeat to its rise in value – a prime spot can transform a simple parcel into a gold mine.
Plus it is a tangible asset that provides utility and can serve as a hedge against inflation.
Whether it’s through REITs, crowdfunding platforms like Fundrise, or direct ownership, real estate can anchor your investment strategy on solid ground.
Best For: Investors seeking a tangible asset with a dual aim of long-term capital appreciation and passive rental property income. Ideal for those ready to manage properties or hire management, and for those who can handle the responsibilities of ownership.
#4 – Your Own Business: Betting on Your Entrepreneurial Spirit
Your own business isn’t just a job, it’s a reflection of your passion and an opportunity to control your financial destiny. When successfully executed, a business can become one of the most valuable appreciating assets, offering unparalleled autonomy and potentially substantial economic rewards.
Starting a business can lead to exponential wealth growth as the company expands and becomes profitable.
Your business’s value can significantly increase over time, making it a formidable asset in your net worth.
Owning a business is not just about the profits; it’s a journey of personal growth, resilience, and the triumph of turning passion into paychecks. It’s a path that can lead to great wealth, especially when one approaches it with clear strategy and unquenchable enthusiasm.
Best For: Individuals with entrepreneurial spirit, a viable business idea, and the readiness to invest time and capital into a long-term venture. Suitable for those who are tenacious and willing to face the challenges of entrepreneurship head-on.
#5- Self-Investment: The Ultimate Asset with Infinite Returns
Investing in yourself is like planting a seed that grows into a sturdy, towering tree, sheltering your financial future.
This investment can unlock doors to better opportunities, higher incomes, and greater job satisfaction. Whether it’s through education, health, or personal development, the returns on self-investment can be limitless.
Personal development often correlates with higher levels of personal and financial success.
Remember, when you invest in yourself, you become capable of crafting a life that not only brings in wealth but also contentment and a deeper sense of success.
Best For: Any individual seeking to enhance their career trajectory, entrepreneurship potential, or personal satisfaction. This approach is ideal for those who are committed to lifelong learning and self-improvement.
Other Examples of Appreciating Assets You Can Own
The Role of Bonds in a Diverse Securities
Bonds, those steadfast soldiers of the investment world, offer a buffer of safety amid the high-flying volatility of other assets. In a diversified portfolio, bonds contribute stability and predictable income, making them an essential element for many investor’s strategies.
They provide a fixed income stream with less volatility than stocks, acting as a cushion in economic downturns.
Bonds can offer a balance in investment holdings, mitigating risk and providing steady returns. Just make sure the returns are higher than an interest-bearing money market account.
Best For: Investors seeking to balance their portfolio with a lower-risk asset or those nearing retirement who prioritize income and stability over high growth.
Cryptocurrencies: The Digital Gold of Tomorrow?
Cryptocurrencies have emerged as the mavericks of appreciating assets, offering a wild ride with the allure of high-stakes jackpot payouts. As the “digital gold” of the modern era, they encapsulate the spirit of decentralization and technological innovation.
While their volatility can stir up investor heartbeats, their dramatic price appreciation stories make them impossible to ignore for those seeking the thrill of potentially explosive gains.
Even as the cryptocurrency markets continue to ebb and flow, they offer a unique proposition in wealth growth strategies—a high-risk, high-reward horizon that has many gazing toward the future with wallets in hand.
Best For: Tech-savvy investors with a high risk tolerance, seeking to diversify with a modern asset class that has considerable growth potential.
Fine Art and Collectibles: Value Beyond Beauty
Fine art and collectibles are not just a feast for the eyes; they’re also a banquet for your investment portfolio.
These assets bring value that transcends their aesthetic appeal, becoming cherished as cultural treasures and financial boons alike. With the intrinsic charm of rarity and historical significance, art pieces and collectibles can appreciate substantially over time, especially when curated with an expert eye.
For instance, this rare portrait of George Washington is expected to fetch $2.5 million at an upcoming auction.1
Best For: Connoisseurs with a passion for the arts or history, and investors looking for long-term, value-holding assets that also serve as cultural and personal investments. Ideal for those with substantial capital ready to navigate the less liquid markets.
Precious Metals: Why Gold and Silver Remain Attractive
Gold and silver aren’t just the treasures of lore—they’re enduring staples for those looking to fortify their wealth. Their allure lies in their history, intrinsic value, and the stability they can provide when economic tides turn tumultuous. Gold and silver are known for their resilience during economic downturns and inflationary periods. As such, learn how to invest in precious metals.
They are tangible, finite resources with universal value, often resulting in consistent demand.
Best For: Investors looking to hedge risks or seeking a stable store of wealth.
Prospects of Private Equity in Upcoming Markets
Private Equity (PE) forms the backbone for the next wave of market disruptors and innovators. Investing in private companies, especially in emerging markets, can yield substantial capital appreciation as these businesses grow and mature, sometimes well before they hit the public sphere.
This has significant potential for appreciation as companies scale up their operations and increase their market footprint.
Best For: Sophisticated investors with a high-risk tolerance and a long investment horizon. They typically have a significant amount of capital to invest and are looking for opportunities outside of public markets to achieve potential high returns.
Venture Capital’s Role in Shaping Future Wealth
Venture Capital (VC) is the financial catalyst that turns innovative startups into tomorrow’s industry leaders. By injecting capital into early-stage companies, VC not only generates the potential for staggering returns but also plays a critical role in shaping future markets and consumer trends.
It plays a critical role in shaping the business landscape of tomorrow by investing in innovation today. With its penchant for high-risk ventures, VC remains an appealing asset class for those with a futuristic vision who are keen to be part of the next big thing.
Venture capital isn’t merely about capital gains; it’s an embrace of progress, a stake in the evolution of industries, and a partnership with the brightest minds of a generation.
Best For: Investors who have a deep understanding of emerging markets and technologies, a high-risk tolerance, and the patience for long-term investment. Also ideal for those who wish to actively participate in the entrepreneurial process and impact the future direction of new businesses.
The Thriving Market for Vintage Automotive Collectibles
Vintage automotive collectibles are revving up the collectibles market with a roar.
Car enthusiasts and investors alike recognize that certain classic models don’t just retain their charm; they accelerate in value over time. The emotional connection, the engineering legacy, and the nostalgia factor turn these vehicles into appreciating assets with a personal touch.
Plus they offer a tangible investment that can be appreciated both visually and through the driving experience.
Best For: Auto enthusiasts who appreciate the craftsmanship of vintage models and are prepared for the hands-on involvement required. Most may see them as a collectible rather than an investment.
Sports Memorabilia as Lucrative Investments
Sports memorabilia takes you on a trip down memory lane, connecting you to pivotal moments and legends of the past. This nostalgia mixed with exclusivity propels their value, making them sought-after assets in the realm of investing.
The emotional and sentimental value tied to sports icons and historical moments can drive considerable investment interest and demand.
Best For: Sports fans who want to combine their passion with investment potential and like to show off their memorabilia.
Land: The Original Real Estate Investment
Land is the progenitor of all real estate investments, offering a blank canvas for potential development or holding value as a scarce resource. With an appeal that has stood the test of time, land remains one of the most fundamental appreciating assets in the investment portfolio.
It is a finite resource; they’re not making any more of it, so demand can only go up as supply remains constant.
Increases in development, population growth, and changes in land zoning can significantly enhance land value over time.
Best For: Investors seeking to hedge against inflation and looking at long-term growth prospects. Land is best for those who have the capital to invest without the need for immediate returns and can wait for the right opportunity to maximize their profits.
Commodities: A Staple in Diverse Investment Portfolios
Commodities offer a slice of the global economic pie, essential for their role in everyday life—from the grain in your breakfast cereal to the petroleum powering your car. As tangible assets, commodities can provide a buffer against inflation and diversify investment portfolios. A similar case could be made for trading currencies.
Commodities, including metals, energy, and agricultural products, often increase in value with inflation and global demand. They provide an investment route less correlated with the stock market, adding portfolio diversification.
Best For: Diversification seekers and those comfortable dealing with market fluctuations who understand global economic trends. Ideal for investors who wish to hedge against inflation and have an interest in tangible or sector-specific assets.
Navigating the High-Yield Savings Landscape
High-yield savings accounts have emerged as essential vehicles for preserving and modestly growing wealth.
In 2022-2024, with interest rates eclipsing their traditional counterparts, these accounts are more relevant than ever for savvy savers seeking to keep pace with inflation. They provide a safe haven for emergency funds or short-term financial goals while offering better returns than a typical savings account.
They provide a low-risk option to grow savings with the added convenience of liquidity. Just like certificates of deposit or CDs.
Best For: Individuals aiming for a secure, accessible place to save money with a better yield than traditional banking products. Especially well-suited for those starting to build their emergency funds or setting aside cash for near-term expenses.
Peer-to-Peer Lending – A Trend to Watch for Asset Growth
Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending shakes up traditional banking by directly connecting borrowers with investors through online platforms. This asset class is gaining traction, providing a novel way to potentially generate higher returns compared to traditional fixed-income investments.
P2P lending platforms offer higher returns on investment over standard savings, as you’re effectively acting as the bank.
It’s a cutting-edge way to diversify your investment portfolio beyond traditional stocks and bonds.
Best For: Investors looking for alternative income streams and who are comfortable with the risk associated with lending money.
Intellectual Property and Patents: An Overlooked Avenue for Wealth Creation
Owning the rights to an invention or unique creation can lead to a wealth of opportunities, with patents often being a gold mine for inventors and savvy investors alike.
Patents, in particular, hold the promise of a decade-long fruitful life, offering the potential for significant monetary returns through licensing or sales.
Best For: Inventors, entrepreneurs, and investors who are versed in industries where innovations are rapidly commercialized. It’s well-suited for those able to navigate the intricacies of patent law and capable of investing in the enforcement and marketing of their IP.
Alternative Investments: Unique Opportunities for Accredited Investors
Accredited investors have the advantage of accessing a broader range of alternative investments that may not be available to the general public, offering potentially higher returns and portfolio diversification. These can include private equity, hedge funds, and exclusive real estate deals.
It’s crucial, however, for accredited investors to conduct thorough due diligence and assess their risk tolerance when allocating a portion of their portfolio to these alternative assets.
Best For: Seasoned investors looking for diversification and higher risk-reward ratios and qualify as an accredited investor.
Luxury Goods: When Opulence Equals Investment
Luxury goods are not only symbols of status and opulence but can also solidify your investment game. High-end watches, designer handbags, and exclusive jewelry collections often see their value climb, defying the usual wear-and-tear depreciation.
They resonate with collectors and enthusiasts, transforming personal indulgence into a viable investment strategy.
Best For: Investors with a penchant for the finer things in life and enthusiasts looking to blend personal enjoyment with financial gain.
Secrets of the Antique Trade: Seeking Out Hidden
The antique trade is akin to a treasure hunt, where seasoned savvy meets the thrill of discovery. Unearthing hidden gems within flea markets, estate sales, and auction houses not only provides a historical connection but can also reveal investment diamonds in the rough.
Antiques carry the potential for significant bottom line appreciation due to factors like rarity, provenance, and desirability among collectors.
Like finding this antiquated nautical map at an estate sale and now listed for $7.5 million. 2
Best For: Collectors with a passion for history and an eye for value.
What If You Have A Depreciative Asset?
If you’re holding onto a depreciative asset, it’s like grasping a melting ice cube: time can whittle away its value.
Consider selling to repurpose the capital into something that appreciates, upgrading to a more efficient model, or simply using it fully before its value dips too low. Each depreciative asset requires a tailored strategy, balancing between cutting losses and extracting maximum utility.
It’s a strategic financial dance — knowing when to hold on and when to let go of depreciative assets can ensure they serve your bottom line more than they hurt it.
FAQs
Appreciating assets are financial powerhouses that grow your wealth over time. They combat inflation and can provide additional income streams.
By increasing in value, they enhance your net worth, creating a more robust financial foundation for your future endeavors.
Appreciating assets are typically categorized based on their nature and the way they generate value. Common categories include tangible assets like real estate and collectibles, financial assets like stocks and bonds, and intangible assets like patents and copyrights.
The assets that don’t often depreciate include real estate, precious metals like gold and silver, and certain collectibles such as fine art or vintage cars. These assets maintain value or appreciate over time, resistant to the typical wear and tear or technological obsolescence that affects other assets.
Which Asset that Has Appreciation in Value Interests You
In conclusion, adding appreciating assets to your portfolio is a strategic move towards achieving financial security and building long-term wealth.
These assets combat inflation by potentially increasing in value over time, providing an opportunity to earn returns that exceed the average inflation rate.
However, these assets are not considered to be part of your liquid net worth. With all appreciating assets, you must consider the potential taxes on your various investments.
To facilitate this wealth-building strategy, it’s vital to practice saving diligently—consider automating your savings, cutting unnecessary expenses, and increasing income streams. By consistently setting aside funds, you can gradually invest in diverse appreciating assets such as stocks, real estate, or retirement accounts.
This is how you start forming a life consistent with financial freedom.
Source
Barrons. “Rare Portrait of George Washington Could Fetch $2.5 Million at Auction.” https://www.barrons.com/articles/rare-portrait-of-george-washington-could-fetch-2-5-million-at-auction-e2f19134. Accessed February 20, 2024.
Los Angeles Times. “A $7.5-million find: Overlooked Getty estate sale map turns out to be 14th century treasure.” https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-10-25/map-dealer-discovers-14th-century-portolan-chart-getty-estate-sale. Accessed February 20, 2024.
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Net interest income climbed 21% to $327.5 million, while net income attributable to common stockholders grew to $172.8 million. Net effective spread jumped 28%, reaching an all-time high of $327 million. Core earnings rose 38% year over year to $171.2 million. “In 2023, Farmer Mac recorded another year of remarkable success, marked by double-digit earnings … [Read more…]
Pre-Qual, TPO, Lead Gen Tools; STRATMOR on Vendor Relationships; Disaster News; HECM, Ginnie, FHA News
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Pre-Qual, TPO, Lead Gen Tools; STRATMOR on Vendor Relationships; Disaster News; HECM, Ginnie, FHA News
By: Rob Chrisman
Wed, Feb 28 2024, 11:09 AM
At the TMBA’s Secondary Conference in Houston a topic is obviously interest rates and the economy… And the fact that the nation’s interest payment expense now exceeds our defense expense! It’s also a fact that Texas’ business climate is very friendly for companies. The #1 state in the nation for residential lending, California, not so much. Overheard here in the hallway: “California is a blue state wrapped up in red tape.” That said, permit process aside, California gets a lot of flak for its high cost of living, but that is for income tax rather than property tax, as exhibited in “Property Taxes by State in 2024” comparing home and vehicle taxes across the nation. Californians pay the 34th highest annual taxes on homes priced at state median value. New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut have the highest annual taxes on homes. Each year, the average American household spends $2,869 on real-estate property taxes plus another $448 for residents of the 26 states with vehicle property taxes. (Found here after 8:30AM ET, this week’s podcast is brought to you by nCino, makers of the nCino Mortgage Suite for the modern mortgage lender. nCino Mortgage Suite’s three core products – nCino Mortgage, nCino Incentive Compensation, and nCino Mortgage Analytics – unite the people, systems, and stages of the mortgage process. Interview with SoFi’s Liz Young on the need for Treasury auctions and how supply and demand at those auctions impacts consumer interest rates.)
Lender and Broker Services, Products, and Software
“If you’re heading to ICE Experience, there’s never been a better time to catch up with the Optimal Blue team. Our PPE clients are actively upgrading to the Encompass Partner Connect integration and enjoying new features and benefits. On average, loan officers experience a 60% reduction in the time it takes to request a lock and see it auto-confirmed within Encompass through this upgraded integration. This means users can continue with disclosures and other loan-processing activities faster, which shortens turnaround times and increases efficiencies. If you’re an existing Optimal Blue client and interested in hearing about the other benefits of upgrading, or if you’d like to further discuss your business strategy, consider scheduling a meeting with the Optimal Blue team at our private poolside cabana. We will also be set up at the Optimal Blue booth throughout the event and ready to chat at your leisure. See you in Vegas!”
Compliance Experts Report on 2024 Mortgage Servicing Outlook! Watch the 30-minute webinar that recently launched with ACES’ EVP of Compliance, Amanda Phillips and Reid Herlihy of Ballard Spahr as they discuss the most recent mortgage servicing news, CFPB Supervisory Highlights, and expectations and predictions for 2024 and beyond. Watch the recording.
Guaranteed Rate has chosen Evocalize to enhance the digital marketing capabilities of its mortgage loan officers. Evocalize, renowned for powering leading mortgage and real estate industry tech platforms, is partnering with Guaranteed Rate to revolutionize lead generation and referral partner engagement. Through Evocalize, loan officers can execute targeted digital marketing campaigns across various platforms including Google, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, Gmail, and YouTube instantaneously. This collaboration empowers loan officers to leverage local data for lead generation amidst changing regulatory landscapes. Evocalize will leverage real-time data and machine learning algorithms to optimize ad management. Guaranteed Rate anticipates significant benefits from this partnership, including enhanced lead generation, reduced marketing costs, and streamlined compliance efforts, ultimately improving the overall customer experience. Learn more here.
“Welcome to the new AFR Wholesale® (AFR)! Change can be good. Our team has been relentlessly pursuing better execution. This exercise has led to great program enhancements, operational improvements and of course, better pricing. Non-Delegated and Wholesale clients have commented on our aggressive pricing across all programs. Notably our new expanded note rate adjusters in conventional and government. We’ve also revised pricing for our Down Payment Assistance Program going into purchase season. AFR is dedicated to offering not only competitive rates but also a customer-centric approach, ensuring that you and your borrowers have the tools and options needed for a beneficial experience. Delegated Correspondents have also seen sharper pricing and incredible turn times (under 48 hours). Ensure you’re leveraging all AFR benefits by reaching out to our Account Executives, 1-800-375-6071, or explore our enhancements through our Quick Pricer tool. Not a client? Partner with AFR today!”
When Al Gore invented the internet, he envisioned a world where borrowers and Realtors could stand in a home, pull out their phones, and update pre-approval letters on demand. Make him proud and check out QuickQual by LenderLogix.
STRATMOR on Lender-Vendor Communication
We in the industry know that there is often a massive disconnect between mortgage lenders and their technology partners, so why isn’t “business relationship therapist” a thing? In STRATMOR Group’s February Insights Report, Senior Advisor Sue Woodard takes on the role of “therapist” to help both lenders and vendors unpack the key areas of disconnect. If you need guidance in breaking down these communication barriers, contact STRATMOR and don’t miss “Step into Our Office: Couples Therapy for Mortgage Lenders and Tech Vendors” for suggestions for both parties and to learn how STRATMOR is already working with technology providers to hear, understand and better respond to the needs of the lending community.
Disaster News
Given that 20-25 percent of the nation’s mortgages come from California, exposed to earthquakes, fires, and flooding, seeing a disaster declared there is worth noting for lenders and servicers alike. FEMA announced that federal disaster assistance has been made available to the state of California to supplement recovery efforts in the areas affected by severe storms and flooding, January 21-23, 2024. The President’s action makes federal funding available to affected individuals in San Diego County.
“Assistance can include grants for temporary housing and home repairs, low-interest loans to cover uninsured property losses and other programs to help individuals and business owners recover from the effects of the disaster. Federal funding is also available on a cost-sharing basis for hazard mitigation measures statewide. Individuals and business owners who sustained losses in the designated areas can begin applying for assistance by registering online at www.DisasterAssistance.gov, by calling 1-800-621-3362 or by using the FEMA App.”
But up in Washington we have wildfires: FEMA DR-4759-WA.
On 2/19/2024, with DR-4758, Release Number HQ-24-024, FEMA declared federal disaster aid with individual assistance has been made available to San Diego County California affected by severe storms and flooding from 1/21/2024 to 1/23/2024. See AmeriHome Mortgage Disaster Announcement 20240206-CL for inspection requirements.
On 2/15/2024, with DR-4759, Release Number HQ-25-025, FEMA declared federal disaster aid with individual assistance has been made available to a county affected by wildfires from 8/18/2023 to 8/25/2023. See AmeriHome Mortgage Disaster Announcement 20240208-CL for inspection requirements.
FHA, VA, Ginnie Mae, HECM, and USDA Developments
Ginnie Mae’s mortgage-backed securities (MBS) portfolio outstanding grew to $2.53 trillion in January, including $28.1 billion of total MBS issuance, leading to $10.8 billion of net growth. January’s new MBS issuance supports financing for more than 91,000 households, including more than 46,000 first-time homebuyers. Approximately 77.6 percent of the January MBS issuance reflects new mortgages that support home purchases, because refinance activity remained low due to higher interest rates.
The January issuance includes $27.4 billion of Ginnie Mae II MBS and more than $674 million of Ginnie Mae I MBS, including nearly $558 million in loans for multifamily housing. For the 2024 calendar year to date, Ginnie Mae supported the pooling and securitization of more than 46,000 first-time homebuyer loans. For more information on monthly MBS issuance, unpaid principal balance (UPB), real estate investment conduit (REMIC) monthly issuance, and global market analysis, visit Ginnie Mae Disclosure.
In USDA news, an Unnumbered Letter (UL) dated February 13, 2024, has been issued which increases the appraisal fee to $775 and the conditional commitment fee to $850 under the rural development direct programs. The fee increases are effective March 14, 2024. The increased fees reflect market research for origination appraisals in rural areas and incorporates the average cost of appraisals under the programs’ nationwide contract with the Appraisal Management Companies.
With the current market trends of rising interest rates, the Single-Family Housing Guaranteed Loan Program (SFHGLP) Rural Development announced a Stand-Alone MRA ratio waiver; to remove the 55 percent and 31 percent limitations from the requirements in the regulation for the Stand-Alone MRA.
FHA published Frequently Asked Questions, FHA (FAQs), that address inquiries received from stakeholders regarding its final rule, Changes in Branch Office Registration Requirements published in the Federal Register on February 2, 2024. This regulation eliminated the current requirement for lenders and mortgagees to register branch offices where they originate FHA Title I or Title II loans. This new rule, which becomes effective on March 4, 20 is not applicable for those institutions whose fiscal year ended on December 31, 2023, and are required to recertify by March 31, 2024. Recertification fees for those lenders will be calculated based on the number of registered branches as of the last business day of their fiscal year-end certification period. Refer to the rule and accompanying FHA INFO 2024-01 dated February 2, 2024, for information on the rule.
Effectively immediately, AmeriHome is removing the existing $100,000 maximum cash-to-borrower overlay on VA Cash-Out Refinance transactions, to align with VA guidelines. For additional information, see Product Announcement 20240207-CL.
Big news for the “Empire State” of New York! Plaza Home Mortgage excitedly shared that borrowers can now utilize a reverse mortgage for purchasing a home. This is a great option for “buying up” or keeping key cash liquidity vs paying all cash. Plus, FHA now allows borrower concessions up to 6% of the Principal Limit. So, what does that mean for your borrower? When discussing the HECM product, these interested party contributions [or concessions] may include REALTORS®, builders, developers, lenders, and others with an interest in the transaction. Now, interested parties may contribute up to 6% of the sales price toward the borrower’s origination fees, closing costs, prepaid items, and more.
Weary about adding reverse mortgages into your business plan? Although there are lower LTVs caused by the higher rates, keep in mind that the acceleration of equity often offsets all of that. While your senior borrowers may get 47 percent instead of 57 percent LTV, their house may have appreciated $150K or more. Contact Plaza Home Mortgage for more information.
Pennymac Announcement 24-07 provides updates to Government LLPAs effective for all Best-Efforts Commitments taken on or after Friday, February 09, 2024.
The Single-Family Housing Guaranteed Loan Program (SFHGLP) announced upcoming revisions to technical Handbook 1-3555, Chapter 12, Property and Appraisal Requirements. Changes are expected to be implemented on April 1, 2024. View USDA Rural Development Bulletin for more information.
Per Pennymac Announcement 24-13, Government LLPAs were updated, effective for all Best-Efforts Commitments taken on or after Friday, February 23, 2024, as follows: Improve values on the ‘Government FICO Price Adjustments’ LLPA Grid.
Capital Markets
There are competing narratives emerging around the strength of the U.S. economy. Weaker consumer spending of late calls into question whether the economy can avoid a recession, consumer confidence has fallen and remains shaky, economic activity pulled back in January as storms and cold weather disrupted day-to-day activity, and markets received a disappointing Durable Orders report yesterday. However, employment has remained resilient, homebuilder confidence has improved, and Treasury auctions this week have not indicated any sort of flight to quality. On balance, the data suggests that the economy should pick up as the weather improves.
Home prices continue to hold steady as demand greatly exceeds supply. The FHFA Housing Price Index rose 0.1 percent month-over-month in December after increasing a revised 0.4 percent in November, while the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index was up 6.1 percent in December after being up 5.4 percent in November. However, local markets are seeing some price easing. Supply and demand may be a greater determinant: Despite high rates, home prices rose 5.1 percent in January, year over year, and while still painfully low, inventory is up 3.1 percent year over year and new listings rose year over year for the fourth straight month.
Today’s economic calendar kicked off with mortgage applications from MBA decreasing 5.6 percent from one week earlier. Later today brings the second look at Q4 GDP and January advanced indicators: the goods trade deficit, retail inventories, and wholesale inventories. Three Fed speakers are currently scheduled: Atlanta President Bostic, Boston President Collins, and New York President Williams. We begin the day (an early travel day for me) with Agency MBS prices, the 10-year yielding 4.28 after closing yesterday at 4.32 percent, and the 2-year at 4.67.
Jobs and Transitions
Looking to expand in CA or NV? Licensing in both states is now taking nearly a year. Opportunity for immediate licensing in either or both states. New established small Mini-Corr/Broker shop located in Northern NV for sale. The operation was established by an industry veteran with two immediate family members. Some circumstances with the family have changed and the principal believes it would be better to continue forward becoming a part of a larger entity. The company is licensed in NV, CO, TX, FL, and CA; banking license should be completed within 6 – 8 weeks. If interested, please contact Chrisman LLC’s Anjelica Nixt to forward your note to the owner.
Movement is providing its loan officers, and the agents they work with, a unique way to highlight their impact. Powered by the company’s new proprietary sales and marketing tool MORE, every Movement LO and the agents they closed loans with in 2023 recently received a personalized “Highlight Reel,” featuring an email, web page, and social media content showcasing the work they did together last year and how that work impacted their respective communities. Movement has also released its annual Impact Report, which also looks back on the previous 12 months. Check out all the ways Movement helps its loan officers stand out with unique storytelling, content, technology, and yes, MORE, at MovementLO.com.
New American Funding is pleased to announce the addition of industry leader Mosi Gatling as SVP Strategic Growth and Expansion. Gatling is renowned for her expertise in serving previously underserved communities and her commitment to increasing Black homeownership in the U.S. and will help to reshape the industry’s approach towards minority communities and effect positive change across the mortgage industry.
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