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After more than two years in the home, they’ve been thinking about selling. Joseph works in Lewisville and Taylor works in Addison, so they would like to find a place offering a shorter commute.

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But, like many other would-be upsizers in Dallas-Fort Worth, the couple feels locked into their current home.

Although they could get a good return on a sale, they would have to shop in a dramatically more expensive housing market than when they first purchased and sacrifice their current loan for a new one at a much higher rate.

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After a wave of low-rate homebuying and refinancing from 2020 to 2022, more than half of outstanding Texas mortgages have rates of less than 4%, according to Federal Housing Finance Agency data.

Since last fall, the average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage has been hovering between 6% and 7%.

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“There are people that want to sell, but that is what is keeping them there at their house,” said Misty Michael, a real estate agent in the Sachse and Plano area.

The Lopez family said any home they would want to buy, in school districts they want to be in and that wouldn’t require a lot of work, would start in the $400,000 range.

“It doesn’t make sense when you weigh out all the pros and cons, so we’re continuing to drive about an hour each way to work,” Lopez said. “We could always purchase a home at a higher interest rate, then refinance it if the interest rates go down, but that’s an if and when situation.

“When you’re playing with that much money, it doesn’t seem like a risk I’m willing to take right now.”

Joseph (left) and Taylor Lopez purchased their home in Anna in 2020 for less than $200,000 with lower mortgage rates and are now waiting out higher rates and prices as they look to sell. (Liesbeth Powers / Special Contributor)

Changing math

Since the start of 2020, the median price of a single-family home in Dallas-Fort Worth has risen more than 50%, according to North Texas Real Estate Information Systems and the Texas Real Estate Research Center at Texas A&M University.

On top of that, the Federal Reserve has aggressively increased its federal funds rate for more than a year, indirectly driving up mortgage rates. Freddie Mac recorded an average 30-year mortgage rate of 6.96% on July 13.

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The result: The monthly principal and interest payment for a median-priced Dallas-Fort Worth home at the average rate with a 20% down payment, before insurance or property taxes, was about $980 in January 2020. In June, it was more than $2,100.

For buyers who purchased a $300,000 home at the record low of 2.65% in January 2021, just buying a house at the same price again at today’s average rate would add almost $900 to their monthly payments before taxes and insurance.

Purchasing a bigger or nicer home would add significantly more to that already-elevated payment, so people with job promotions or babies on the way looking to upgrade to bigger homes may not find a good enough deal to justify it financially.

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“It now is significantly more expensive to make these marginal changes that you might have been planning,” said Texas A&M economist Adam Perdue. He and his wife are expecting a baby soon and have considered getting a bigger home, but they too have a low rate on their home in Brazos County and don’t want to take on higher monthly payments.

While prices are declining slightly year to year, Texas A&M economists don’t expect them to return to where they were at the beginning of 2020. Rates are also expected to decline, but not back down to the record lows. Mortgage Bankers Association forecasts rates in the 5% range by 2024.

Still buying and selling

As mortgage rates rose and sellers held back, new single-family home listings in Dallas-Fort Worth dropped 22% between June 2022 to June 2023, limiting options for people looking to buy.

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Buyers with an immediate need to move are still purchasing homes, and people continue to move to Texas from other parts of the country. Local home sales recorded in June were down only slightly from a year before.

“We have a ton of buyers that are wanting to buy a home,” Michael said, adding that buyers may choose to refinance later. “You have people getting married, having babies, kids going to college.”

More casual buyers without an immediate need to move may no longer be shopping, said Drew Kayes, who heads up homebuying company Opendoor’s operations in Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston.

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“A lot of those folks right now are not in the market because they’re locked into a sub-4% rate, and that’s more of a luxury move than a necessity move,” Kayes said.

An open house sign beckons buyers outside of a home in Plano. (Shafkat Anowar / Staff Photographer)

Jason Dickson, co-owner of North Texas-based Nuwave Lending, said while it may be hard for homeowners to leave their current home, it may be worth it for them to tap into equity they’ve built up during the pandemic to pay off credit card debt or auto loans.

“They’ll gladly sign up for the higher interest rate in the new house if they have the benefit of taking that equity and improving their overall financial position,” he said.

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A silver lining

Nipun Gadhok, development manager for the Nehemiah Company, is looking to move from Fort Worth to buy a home in Mesquite next year.(Liesbeth Powers / Special Contributor)

Nipun Gadhok, 31, doesn’t want to lose his 3% rate but hopes to purchase a new home for him and his girlfriend next year.

Gadhok, a development manager for the Nehemiah Co., a local firm behind residential communities throughout Dallas-Fort Worth, purchased his five-bedroom home in Fort Worth’s Augusta Meadows neighborhood in 2021.

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He’s looking to buy a home along the outskirts of the metro area, potentially in one of his company’s developments on the east end of Mesquite. Knowing he has a rate he may never get again, he’s not planning to sell his Fort Worth house.

He intends to keep it as a rental property and is already renting out rooms to four other tenants. With mortgage rates causing many people to rent, that’s turning out to be a good side hustle.

“People are choosing to rent, they are not as much inclined to buy,” Gadhok said. “The rates really helped me out in the way that I’m not having problems with finding tenants.”

Read more stories about the D-FW housing market
Here’s how much profit Dallas-Fort Worth home sellers are making

Home sellers in North Texas are pocketing some of the highest gains on record, even though profit is down from last summer’s peak.
Apartments set to start construction this fall on Plano’s Haggard farm

Developers of Plano’s legacy Haggard farmland on the Dallas North Tollway are disclosing more details of a $70 million, four-story, 569,000 square-foot apartment project.
Dallas-Fort Worth tops Texas with a quarter of statewide home sales

Dallas-Fort Worth leads Texas in home sales with more than 27,000 properties trading in the second quarter.

Source: dallasnews.com

Apache is functioning normally

With elevated mortgage rates sidelining both home buyers and sellers, existing home sales fell in June, according to the latest report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales were also down significantly from a year prior.

Total existing home sales slipped 3.3% in June from the prior month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.16 million. Year-over-year, sales dropped 18.9% from 5.13 million in June 2022.

“The first half of the year was a downer for sure with sales lower by 23%,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Fewer Americans were on the move despite the usual life-changing circumstances. The pent-up demand will surely be realized soon, especially if mortgage rates and inventory move favorably.”

The median existing-home price in June for all housing types – which includes single-family homes, condos and townhouses – was $410,200, the second-highest price of all time and down 0.9% from the record-high of $413,800 in June 2022. The monthly median price surpassed $400,000 for the third time, joining June 2022 and May 2022 ($408,600). Also noteworthy, prices rose in the Northeast and Midwest but waned in the South and West.

We’ve seen home sales drop on an annual basis since the Federal Reserve began hiking the benchmark rate in spring of 2022. Mortgage rates have settled into the 6% to 7% range over the last three months, depressing existing home sales.

Total housing inventory recorded at the end of June was 1.08 million units, unchanged from May, but down 13.6% from June 2022 (1.25 million). Meanwhile, unsold inventory sits at a 3.1-month supply at the current sales pace, up slightly from 3.0 months in May and 2.9 months in June 2022, NAR said.

“Home sales fell but home prices have held firm in most parts of the country,” NAR’s Yun added. “The national median home price in June was slightly less than the record high of nearly $414,000 in June of last year. Limited supply is still leading to multiple-offer situations, with one-third of homes getting sold above the list price in the latest month.”

Although all four regions experienced year-over-year sales declines, the Northeast fared better while the Midwest held steady, and the South and West posted decreases.

Zooming in on the Northeast, existing-home sales there grew 2.0% from May to an annual rate of 510,000 in June, down 21.5% from June 2022. The median price was $475,300, up 4.9% from the prior year. In the Midwest, existing-home sales remained unchanged from one month ago at an annual rate of 990,000 in June, decreasing 19.5% from one year ago. The median price there was $311,800, up 2.1% from June 2022. In the South, existing home sales disappointed as they faded 5.4% from May to an annual rate of 1.91 million in June, a decrease of 16.2% from the previous year. The median price was $366,600, down 1.2% from June 2022. Lastly, in the West, existing-home sales declined 5.1% from the previous month to an annual rate of 750,000 in June, down 22.7% from one year ago. The median price was $606,500, down 3.4% from the same period last year.

The good news is that the housing recession that was predicted by some economists has not materialized, noted Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS. 

”With positive inflation news and a strong labor market, the possibility that the Fed will be able to bring the economy in for a “soft landing” is improving. As the economy normalizes, however, we are still in the midst of a very unusual housing market, with so much inventory locked down as a result of the low pandemic mortgage rates,” said Bright MLS’s Sturtevant.

Properties in June on average remained on the market for 18 days, identical to May but up from 14 days in June 2022. Conversely, 76% of homes sold in June were on the market for less than a month. First-time buyers were responsible for just 27% of sales in June, down from 28% in May and 30% in June 2022, illustrating the affordability crisis at play.

For transaction types, all-cash sales accounted for 26% of purchases in June, up from 25% in both May 2023 and June 2022. Meanwhile, individual investors or second-home buyers, who make up many cash sales, purchased 18% of homes in June, up from 15% in May and 16% the previous year.

Distressed sales, which include foreclosures and short sales, represented only 2% of sales in June, virtually unchanged from last month and the prior year.

In this market, the lack supply remains the main constraint but new housing construction should help alleviate some of the supply pressures, according to Sturtevant. As a result, homebuilders kept capitalizing on a lack of competition and injected supply into the marketplace. However, inventory will still be sparse and prices “will have nowhere to go but up in the second half of 2023.”

“Existing home sales will continue to remain suppressed while both sides of this market are feeling the heat of affordability constraints, and we will likely continue to see buyers turning their eyes towards the new construction market – which can offer incentives to tip the scales in favor of buyers’ budgets as well as offer more available inventory,” added Nicole Bachaud, a senior economist at Zillow.

Source: housingwire.com

Apache is functioning normally

Yes, we’ve all heard it. Buying a home today might seem like the most unaffordable, and therefore impossible, it’s ever been. Home prices are near record levels, pushed up by bidding wars erupting on anything well-situated and move-in ready. Plus, mortgage rates are nearing 7%.

But here’s the thing: The baby boomers had it worse.

In May of this year, the typical buyer spent just under a third of their household income, about 32.8%, on housing. As uncomfortable as that might be, it’s not even close to how much buyers plunked down in the early 1980s.

In 1981, the same year the AIDS virus was identified, the Iran hostage crisis came to an end, and “Raiders of the Lost Ark” topped the box office charts, homebuyers that September and October spent 51.3% of their household income on their mortgage payments.

Let that sink in for a moment.

Furthermore, that percentage doesn’t even include what they paid for utilities, property taxes, insurance costs, and homeowners association fees.

Buying a home is “not as unaffordable as it’s ever been,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale. But, “in the grand scheme of things, housing is pretty unaffordable right now.”

To figure out how affordable buying a home has been over the past 50 years, the Realtor.com data team analyzed data going back to 1973. We looked at monthly existing single-family home prices from the National Association of Realtors®, weekly mortgage interest rates for 30-year fixed loans from Freddie Mac, and median annual household income from the U.S. Census Bureau. Then we calculated the typical mortgage payment of a buyer taking out a loan on the median-priced home and what percentage of their household income that would eat up.

The analysis doesn’t factor in regional price differences, new construction, or the percentage of income that individual buyers spent on homes.

“If you go back in history, you can find a period where housing is more unaffordable than it is now,” says Hale. “But you have to go back almost 40 years.”

Why today’s buyers wouldn’t want to purchase a home in 1981

In the fall of 1981, homes were cheap by today’s standards.

The typical single-family home cost just $66,125—about six times less than the cost this past May, according to the most recent data from NAR.

However, the typical household was bringing in only about $19,074 in 1981, according to U.S. Census Bureau data. And mortgage rates topped 18% that fall. (And you thought 7% was rough.)

Those turbo-sized rates meant that 99.5% of a buyer’s first year of mortgage payments was going toward just the towering amount of interest on the loan. The buyer didn’t pay down 10% on the principal of the balance until the 18th year of the loan, assuming the buyer didn’t refinance—which most buyers did. (This calculation includes a 20% down payment.)

Today’s average family is earning about $73,505 a year. But in May, they were contending with median existing-home prices of $410,100 and mortgage rates hovering in the mid-6% range and which have since risen to the high 6% territory. About 85% of their first year’s mortgage payments is going to interest.

One important difference is that instead of waiting nearly two decades to have 10% of their principal paid off, they achieve that milestone by year seven.

“Mortgage rates play a really substantial role in how affordable housing is at any time, especially since so many buyers buy with a mortgage,” says Hale.

Uncomfortable similarities between 1981 and 2023

There are a few similarities between then and now. Inflation was soaring in the early ’80s, causing the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike interest rates. (Sound familiar?) The nation was also in a full-blown recession in 1981. Fast-forward 42 years, and the nation appears to be flirting with another downturn.

The number of home sales slowed in the early 1980s as well as in this post-pandemic housing market as fewer folks can afford to buy due to higher mortgage rates.

Then, as now, most of those purchasing homes earn more than the median income—unless they had very generous family members, stock options, or trust funds. Or they’re existing homeowners who can put the equity they built in their last home into their new one.

“Boomers have been saying things were harder when we were young for a long time. And in some respects, they are right,” says Hale. “But in other respects, they don’t have the same amount of student loan debt and child care costs that young people have today.”

Plus, once mortgage rates fell, most folks who purchased homes in the early 1980s had refinanced their loans to lock in the new rates and “drastically” lower their monthly mortgage payments. By 1986, rates had fallen back down to the single digits.

Recessions and pandemics may be good times to buy homes

As counterintuitive as this may seem, recessions may be financially advantageous for buyers to purchase homes—if they remain employed and have the funds to do so. That’s because interest rates usually (but not always, as the early 1980s demonstrated) fall during economic downturns. That makes homebuying more affordable.

Over the past 50 years, homes were the most affordable as the country climbed out of the Great Recession. In early 2012 and 2013, buyers were spending about 14%—or less—of their income on a home. That’s because mortgage rates were below 4%.

The same thing happened in the early days of the pandemic. The economy ground to a halt as stay-at-home orders proliferated and mass layoffs ensued. To stimulate the economy, the Fed cut interest rates and mortgage rates fell below 3%—for the first time ever.

Those low rates triggered the big run-up in prices and offset those gains. Since buyers were spending less on interest, they could afford to purchase more house. The result? In spring 2020, buyers were spending just under 18% of their income on housing.

“Affordability is one of the factors that kicked off the buying frenzy that we saw in the early part of the pandemic,” says Hale.

It wasn’t until mortgage rates climbed above 4% in March 2022 that buyers began to get priced out. That month they spent just under 25% of their income on housing. As rates ticked up and affordability worsened, more buyers left the market and fewer homes went up for sale (as sellers didn’t want to give up their low rates).

The situation has only gotten worse, with buyers spending nearly a third of their income on housing in May.

“When housing is unaffordable, it’s very tempting to stretch your budget,” says Hale. But with inflation, rising property taxes, and high energy bills, “now’s probably not a good time to do that.”

Source: realtor.com

Apache is functioning normally

If you haven’t heard of PNC Mortgage before, you probably will in the near future.

They’re a rapidly growing depository bank and mortgage lender with 2,600 branches across 19 states nationwide.

PNC is also one of the top 10 largest banks in the United States based on total assets. However, most of their retail operations tend to be in the Midwest and Northeast regions of the country.

But you can still apply for a home loan with the company from just about anywhere in the United States because they let you apply online, by phone, or in person at a branch.

Let’s learn more about PNC to see if they should be included in your home loan search.

Who Is PNC Bank?

  • A depository bank and mortgage lender with roots in Pittsburgh
  • The name is based on two former predecessors (Pittsburgh National Corporation and Provident National Corporation)
  • They acquired National City Mortgage during the housing crisis in 2008 to become a major mortgage player
  • A top-25 mortgage lender nationally that funded about $36 billion in home loans during 2021

The history of PNC Bank can be traced all the way back to the mid-1800s, though it’s unclear when they first began offering mortgages on residential properties.

But one thing is certain – they’ve been around a while and look to be growing larger as time goes on, especially in the home lending space.

One major catalyst in their growth story had to do with their timely acquisition of National City Mortgage, which was a major home loan lender until the housing crisis hit in the early 2000s.

PNC Mortgage basically reinvented itself with the merger thanks to National City’s large mortgage presence. They were a top-10 mortgage lender up until the crisis.

However, PNC has yet to crack the top-10 lender list themselves, though it’s probably a matter of time if they continue on the same course.

What Does PNC Mortgage Offer?

  • They offer both fixed and adjustable-rate loan options
  • Conforming and jumbo loans
  • FHA loans and VA loans
  • And home equity loans and lines of credit

PNC Mortgage offers a variety of home loan programs, including typical fixed-rate options like the popular 30-year fixed and 15-year fixed.

Additionally, you can get your hands on three different types of ARMs, including a 5/1 ARM, 7/1 ARM, and a 10/1 ARM.

If you happen to live in a more expensive region of the country, or have plans to buy a mega-mansion, know that they accept jumbo loan amounts up to $5 million. This should satisfy most borrowers out there.

Conventional loan options aside, they offer government home loans as well, including FHA loans and VA loans.

Both government loan options come in 30-year fixed and 5/1 ARM varieties.

PNC also offers three different types of home equity options, including a HELOC, a home equity loan, and a so-called “Home Equity Rapid Refinance.”

All three include a 0.25% interest rate discount when you set up and maintain automatic monthly payments via a linked PNC checking account.

The Home Equity Rapid Refinance is referred to as a “lower cost solution than a traditional fixed rate mortgage,” though they also say you can enjoy fixed payments for up to 30 years.

It’s somewhat unclear what it actually is, though it sounds kind of like a cash out refinance with limited closing costs. One twist is it seems to be a home equity loan that is in the first position (not subordinate), an important detail if you were to get foreclosed upon.

Anyway, a home appraisal fee isn’t required in many cases, and they allow LTVs as high as 84.9% with no private mortgage insurance. It sounds like a weird take on a home equity loan.

PNC Mortgage Rates Seem Competitive

  • PNC Mortgage openly advertises its mortgage rates
  • Which not all home loan lenders tend to do
  • They appear to be quite competitive relative to other lenders
  • But note that they often assume a 70-80% LTV ratio among other things

Speaking of interest rates, let’s talk about the rates at PNC Mortgage. First off, kudos to them for advertising their mortgage rates. Not all mortgage companies do.

My first impression – they’re quite competitive, but as always, we have to consider the assumptions they make. And they make some pretty big ones.

For conforming loan amounts, they assume you’re putting down 20% of the home purchase price, or that you have 20% equity in your home. Plenty of homeowners put down less when buying and/or have less equity.

They also expect you to have excellent credit, defined as a 740-credit score, and presume the property is a one-unit single-family home.

When it comes to jumbo loans, they make the same assumptions but base pricing on a 30% down payment, or 70% LTV.

While this isn’t uncommon (most lenders do this), you do have to pay attention to the assumptions to ensure you aren’t disappointed when you receive your actual rate quote.

Also take note of the lock period, which might be 30 or 60 days. If you accept a lower lock period you might be able to obtain an even lower mortgage rate.

PNC Mortgage Reviews

  • If their mortgage rates and closing costs are competitive by all means consider them
  • They also recently launched a digital home loan process powered by Blend
  • And they offer a free biweekly payment service and relationship discounts
  • But their reviews are a bit mixed so be sure to do your research

It’s hard to get super excited about going to a big, old bank to get a home loan.

But PNC Mortgage recently launched a revamped digital mortgage process backed by fintech company Blend in September 2022.

They also offer relationship discounts on their mortgage rates and home equity offerings, along with a free biweekly mortgage payment service.

However, they’re a little late to the party seeing that other major players, such as Rocket Mortgage from Quicken, and the digital offerings provided by the likes of Bank of America and Chase, have been around for years.

Maybe PNC can offer lower mortgage rates than the competition, which is certainly enough to choose them over another lender, but there doesn’t seem to be much else to talk about here.

They have their “Home Insight Planner,” which features some mortgage calculators and lets you generate home affordability scenarios, but it seems a bit clunky and not all that revolutionary.

They do service a lot of mortgages, so it’s possible you might actually be making your mortgage payments out to PNC if you get your home loan with them. This can be a plus if you’re sick of your mortgage loan being sold and transferred over and over.

But until PNC Mortgage does more to separate themselves from the crowd, they likely won’t attract many clients outside their existing customer base, especially as more disruptors emerge to shake up the scene.

Lastly, while they do have an ‘A+’ rating from the Better Business Bureau (BBB), many of their reviews are pretty low.

For example, they’ve got a 1.12/5 rating on the BBB website from reviews, a 1.3/5 on Trustpilot, and a 3.7/5 on WalletHub.

The one bright spot is Zillow, where they enjoy a 4.95/5, with most reviews likely more aligned with their home loan business than overall banking services.

If that’s the case, PNC could be a good choice among other mortgage companies out there.

PNC Mortgage Pros and Cons

The Good Stuff

  • Offer a digital mortgage process powered by Blend
  • Can apply for a home loan online, in-person, or by phone
  • Openly advertise their mortgage rates online
  • Relationship discounts for existing customers
  • Lots of loan programs to choose from including jumbos and home equity loans/lines
  • Licensed to do business nationwide
  • They service their own loans
  • A+ BBB rating

The Maybe Not

  • As a big bank they might be overly bureaucratic/slow
  • Mixed customer reviews across ratings websites

Source: thetruthaboutmortgage.com